Risk management when risks no longer arrive one at a time
How enterprises can connect emerging risks, vulnerabilities and stress scenarios to understand where exposures interact and amplify.
Read articleInvestment management and private capital enter September 2026 without many of the tailwinds that supported the previous cycle. Higher financing costs, greater buyer scrutiny and longer holding periods have made liquidity and exits more demanding, while investors are becoming more selective about managers, strategies and evidence of differentiation. Private credit, infrastructure and other alternatives continue to expand, but scale alone does not guarantee attractive economics. The industry is shifting toward a model in which sourcing discipline, portfolio transformation, operating capabilities and capital management matter more to returns and fundraising than multiple expansion or abundant leverage.
Focus
Strategic Challenges
Strategic Impacts
Observed Patterns
Strategic Challenges
Strategic Impacts
Observed Patterns
Industry Challenge
Investment managers and private-capital firms face a market where the easy return drivers of the previous cycle are less dependable. Entry valuations remain demanding in many sectors, holding periods are longer, exits can be selective and private-credit risks are receiving greater scrutiny. At the same time, investors expect deployment and distributions. The challenge is to generate returns through operating improvement, capital-structure discipline and differentiated sourcing rather than macro tailwinds. Firms need sharper portfolio triage and more realistic value-creation plans.
Future Outlook
The next private-markets cycle will reward firms that combine sector depth with operating capabilities and flexible capital. Infrastructure, data centers, energy systems and advanced manufacturing are attracting significant private investment, while continuation vehicles and private credit broaden the tools available to manage duration and liquidity. AI will also reshape portfolio-company productivity and diligence. Scale will matter, but specialization may matter more in complex assets. Managers that underwrite change and improve assets after acquisition will be better positioned.
Market Outlook
Private capital in 2026 remains below the exuberant pace of the previous cycle in several traditional buyout segments, but activity is broadening. Infrastructure fundraising and deployment are strong, private credit remains an important source of financing, and larger deals are returning selectively. Holding periods remain extended and investors are demanding clearer paths to value creation and liquidity. Capital is increasingly drawn to AI infrastructure, energy, advanced manufacturing and resilient services. The market is therefore not short of capital; it is more discriminating.
POV
Our approach
Our approach� connects investor demand, fundraising, deployment, asset selection, portfolio construction, value creation, liquidity and platform economics rather than examining each independently. We distinguish returns generated by market exposure from those produced through differentiated investment judgment or ownership capabilities and assess how this changes across strategies and cycles. At portfolio-company level, we connect strategic and operational value creation with exit readiness. At platform level, we examine scale, talent, data, operating leverage and product architecture to understand what can create durable differentiation with LPs.
The data and estimates presented are indicative and intended for illustrative purposes. Actual outcomes may vary based on each company’s specific context, market conditions, operating model, implementation choices, and the quality and consistency of execution, including actions undertaken by the client.
Keypillars
Explore the key pillars that define this capability and shape how we create focused, measurable business impact.
Investment economics
Understands returns, valuation, leverage, liquidity, fees, and portfolio construction across public and private investment strategies
Ownership dynamics
Examines sourcing, diligence, governance, value creation, capital allocation, and exits across different investment models
Capital market shifts
Tracks fundraising, interest rates, regulation, investor allocation, and market liquidity affecting investment strategy and portfolio decisions
Strategic Framework
Assess asset classes, investor pools, strategies, deal markets, fundraising, and competitive capital flows
Monitor fundraising, deal activity, valuations, exits, allocations, performance, and investor sentiment
Define priorities across strategies, sectors, geographies, capital deployment, exits, and platform capabilities
Examine rates, valuations, liquidity, regulation, allocations, exits, and investor preferences
Evaluate investment strategies, performance, differentiation, fundraising, portfolio exposure, and operating capabilities
Test return, valuation, fundraising, liquidity, exit, and allocation conditions across market cycles
How we help
We help investment managers and private-capital firms assess strategy, markets and portfolio positioning; strengthen value-creation approaches across portfolio companies; and make decisions about deployment, liquidity and exits. We can also support platform strategy, product expansion, operating-model transformation, AI and data adoption, investor propositions and growth through acquisitions or partnerships. The emphasis is on understanding where investment performance and platform differentiation can remain repeatable as market tailwinds become less reliable.
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