Article
Scenario planning for a less predictable global economy
How leaders can use strategic foresight to test market, footprint and investment choices against multiple plausible futures.
Technology leadership increasingly depends on more than innovation inside individual companies. Semiconductor capacity, research ecosystems, talent, standards, capital and industrial policy shape whether countries and regions can sustain advantage across strategic technologies. Competitive positions can therefore change before commercial market shares visibly move. Global technology intelligence examines these foundations together, identifying where ecosystems are strengthening, where bottlenecks constrain scale and how standards or state support can shift competitive trajectories across AI, advanced computing, communications, energy and other critical domains.
Focus
Strategic Challenges
Strategic Impacts
Observed Patterns
Strategic Challenges
Strategic Impacts
Observed Patterns
POV
Our approach
Our approach begins by defining the technologies and capability layers most consequential to the strategic question. We compare countries and ecosystems across research strength, talent, intellectual property, capital, manufacturing capacity, supply-chain control, standards and policy support. Current performance is separated from the foundations likely to determine future scale and competitiveness. We then develop scenarios for how leadership could shift as bottlenecks, investment and regulation change, identifying where technology dependence or ecosystem alignment may become strategically relevant before commercial outcomes fully reveal the transition.
The data and estimates presented are indicative and intended for illustrative purposes. Actual outcomes may vary based on each company’s specific context, market conditions, operating model, implementation choices, and the quality and consistency of execution, including actions undertaken by the client.
Keypillars
Explore the key pillars that define this capability and shape how we create focused, measurable business impact.
Technology rivalry
Tracks competition among states and firms across critical technologies, standards, intellectual property, talent, infrastructure, and investment
Control dynamics
Examines export controls, subsidies, investment restrictions, localization policies, and alliances shaping access to strategic technologies
Enterprise exposure
Connects global technology competition with sourcing, partnerships, R&D, market access, architecture, and long-term capability dependencies
Strategic Framework
Identify technologies, platforms, standards, capabilities, and supply chains central to global strategic competition
Monitor patents, investment, capacity, talent, policy, standards, and ecosystem changes across strategic technologies
Connect competitive shifts to technology access, sourcing, partnerships, investment, markets, and enterprise architecture
Compare countries and ecosystems by research, talent, capital, infrastructure, production, adoption, and market strength
Examine subsidies, controls, standards, procurement, investment restrictions, and alliances shaping technology competition
Develop scenarios for technology blocs, standards fragmentation, supply separation, and asymmetric capability development
How we help
We provide global technology-competition intelligence across research, talent, manufacturing, standards, capital and technology supply chains. The work can include ecosystem benchmarking, capability mapping, investment tracking, standards analysis, policy assessment and competitive scenarios. Outputs identify which countries or ecosystems are strengthening their position, where bottlenecks constrain leadership, how state policy interacts with private innovation and which shifts could affect technology access, partnership choices or strategic dependence over time.
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Articles
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Read articleHow leaders can use strategic foresight to test market, footprint and investment choices against multiple plausible futures.
Read articleFocus
Rates, liquidity, currencies and investor risk appetite can alter financing conditions across countries and sectors quickly.
Availability, processing capacity and sovereign control can reshape cost, continuity and strategic dependence.
Strategic challenges
The challenge is identifying where policy, standards and ecosystem fragmentation could alter sourcing, investment or product choices.
The challenge is distinguishing routine reliance from concentrations that could constrain operations, investment or market access.