Industrial policy is rewriting competitive economics
How subsidies, export controls and state intervention can alter the relative attractiveness of markets, technologies and investment locations.
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Geopolitics
Assess geopolitical shifts, exposure and scenarios to inform strategy, investment, operations and market decisions.
Discover the macroEditorial overview
Articles
The strategic cost of dependency
Why concentrated exposure to critical technologies, materials and infrastructure is becoming a board-level issue across industries.
Read articleFocus
Critical routes become enterprise risks when too much depends on too few nodes
Ports, canals, pipelines, cables and transport corridors can concentrate disruption across otherwise diversified supply networks.
Great-power rivalry is reshaping the rules of international business
Competition between major powers affects technology, trade, capital, standards and the strategic position of multinational firms.
Strategic challenges
Where would an energy or materials shock hit the business first?
The challenge is tracing direct and indirect exposure across inputs, suppliers, logistics, pricing and customer demand.
Which market relationships could become inaccessible under tighter controls?
The challenge is identifying where sanctions, export restrictions or retaliation could suddenly constrain commercial activity.
POV
Supplier diversification is not resilience when every shipment uses the same chokepoint
True redundancy requires understanding shared infrastructure dependencies, not simply increasing the number of counterparties.
More geopolitical information does not create better geopolitical judgment
The enterprise needs fewer, better-defined signals tied to exposure and decisions, not a constant stream of global developments.
Strategic impact
Shock analysis translates geopolitical events into enterprise consequences
Structured exposure mapping helps leadership distinguish headline significance from events that can materially alter operations.
Rivalry analysis clarifies where geopolitical fragmentation can affect strategy
Understanding exposure across markets, technologies and supply networks helps management test the durability of global operating assumptions.
What we observe
Trade risk is often assessed after policy changes have already affected economics
Companies can remain exposed for years when supplier, market and investment decisions assume stable trade relationships.
Companies often relocate supply without testing the full economics of resilience
Moving closer or into friendly jurisdictions can reduce one exposure while creating higher costs and new dependencies elsewhere.